Ali Bhanpuri uses the Next Gen Stats playoff probability model to shed light on the 2024 NFL playoff picture. Which team is most likely to unseat the Chiefs atop the AFC? Which division frontrunners are most at risk of losing their leads?

Those probabilities range from 99% to less than 1% after the NFL Week 10 games, with the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills and Detroit Lions currently having the best chance to earn postseason spots and the New York Giants,

Back from their bye and with the second half of the season starting on Sunday at the Bears, here is a look at the Green Bay Packers’ playoff picture.