🌊 ENSO Update – March 2025 El Niño Signal Building for Spring–Summer 2025 The latest Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomaly animation from the Bureau of Meteorology reinforces our previous updates regarding a developing El Niño phase for the Pacific and eastern Australia, expected to influence conditions into Spring and Summer 2025/2026. 📆 January 2025 Climate Outlook Recap The long-range climate forecast released in January 2025 highlighted a drying trend expected to follow the next national w
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The latest outlook on El Niño—the warm phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (aka “ENSO”) climate pattern—gives a greater than 95% chance that it will continue through the winter. At this event's peak this winter, there is approximately a 2 in 3 chance that the Oceanic Niño Index will match or exceed 1.5 °C, the informal threshold for a “strong” El Niño event. Learn more about the forecast and what El Niño could mean for global temperatures at the ENSO Blog. https://www.climate.gov/news-feat
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